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Red438
2016150.5
1923165.3
6860103.0
Blue259
1403128.5
1626146.6
1228128.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333318150200250400450500550438259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.30.3
164.0164.3
Auto25.2
Teleop120.2
End18.6
red by 18.7
1626
#12
146.60.6
145.4146.1
Auto19.0
Teleop108.4
End19.0
Second
150.50.6
148.2148.8
Auto20.2
Teleop110.5
End20.3
red by 22.0
1403
#34
128.50.2
128.2128.4
Auto15.9
Teleop102.9
End11.0
Third
6860
#30
103.00.2
103.5103.3
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End5.1
blue by 25.1
1228
#20
128.20.1
128.4128.3
Auto17.0
Teleop100.0
End10.1