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Red334
223148.4
222167.4
1143128.0
Blue208
3637150.0
1089136.5
293128.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325323220260280300340360334208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#4
167.40.4
165.5165.9
Auto24.0
Teleop134.4
End8.4
red by 17.4
3637
#15
150.00.5
149.5150.0
Auto18.4
Teleop113.2
End20.9
Second
223
#5
148.40.6
145.6146.2
Auto16.7
Teleop108.2
End24.6
red by 11.9
1089
#11
136.50.6
135.9136.5
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
Third
1143
#23
128.00.3
129.0128.7
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End14.0
blue by 0.3
293
#21
128.30.2
128.1128.3
Auto14.8
Teleop105.2
End8.1