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Red75
6016103.5
7045102.1
6945110.7
Blue391
303175.6
41121.6
193135.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213357010030040050060070075391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6945
#38
110.743.0
120.877.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End10.7
blue by 64.9
303
#1
175.611.6
115.9127.5
Auto25.7
Teleop122.8
End28.1
Second
6016
#35
103.516.9
66.483.3
Auto13.8
Teleop81.0
End8.3
blue by 32.3
193
#16
135.713.4
99.0112.3
Auto16.5
Teleop105.4
End14.8
Third
7045
#14
102.127.9
105.677.7
Auto16.2
Teleop81.9
End7.7
blue by 19.5
41
#29
121.615.3
81.096.3
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed