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Red346
6203132.8
1989138.0
6943108.9
Blue254
555116.3
1089136.5
207097.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522970100200400500346254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.010.4
105.8116.2
Auto15.3
Teleop104.0
End16.8
red by 1.5
1089
#11
136.510.7
109.3119.9
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
Second
6203
#26
132.811.8
81.593.3
Auto13.0
Teleop100.2
End22.4
red by 16.6
555
#27
116.310.9
99.4110.4
Auto13.7
Teleop91.3
End15.3
Third
6943
#28
108.97.7
77.785.4
Auto16.0
Teleop81.5
End14.5
red by 11.4
2070
#37
97.47.1
83.790.8
Auto14.4
Teleop78.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed