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Red159
1403128.5
3142121.2
2600110.1
Blue221
465296.9
2016150.5
1143128.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012690100200400500600159221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#34
128.58.2
111.5119.8
Auto15.9
Teleop102.9
End11.0
blue by 22.0
150.50.3
138.2137.9
Auto20.2
Teleop110.5
End20.3
Second
3142
#24
121.27.0
101.2108.2
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
blue by 6.7
1143
#23
128.09.8
105.0114.8
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End14.0
Third
2600
#33
110.110.7
94.2104.9
Auto13.3
Teleop89.4
End9.0
red by 13.1
4652
#22
96.98.7
77.786.4
Auto12.5
Teleop83.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed