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Red201
2577117.2
6943108.9
293128.3
Blue369
1923165.3
5438105.6
41121.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513330100200300400500600201369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#21
128.38.8
109.1117.9
Auto14.8
Teleop105.2
End8.1
blue by 37.0
165.30.4
151.8152.1
Auto25.2
Teleop120.2
End18.6
Second
2577
#18
117.24.0
93.697.6
Auto13.7
Teleop89.1
End15.9
blue by 4.4
41
#29
121.68.9
108.6117.4
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End7.7
Third
6943
#28
108.97.4
85.492.8
Auto16.0
Teleop81.5
End14.5
red by 3.3
5438
#25
105.66.4
95.9102.3
Auto17.0
Teleop81.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed