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Red396
1923165.3
6860103.0
1626146.6
Blue251
1989138.0
1228128.2
1403128.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312302100200400500396251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.31.2
156.1157.3
Auto25.2
Teleop120.2
End18.6
red by 27.2
138.02.0
131.8133.8
Auto15.3
Teleop104.0
End16.8
Second
1626
#12
146.64.3
125.5129.8
Auto19.0
Teleop108.4
End19.0
red by 18.1
1403
#34
128.51.2
126.2125.0
Auto15.9
Teleop102.9
End11.0
Third
6860
#30
103.00.3
100.7101.0
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End5.1
blue by 25.1
1228
#20
128.21.4
130.0131.4
Auto17.0
Teleop100.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed