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Red353
1672118.6
2495103.8
223148.4
Blue205
2554115.5
6016103.5
4653141.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272279100200400500353205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#5
148.40.2
137.0136.8
Auto16.7
Teleop108.2
End24.6
red by 6.8
4653
#13
141.69.4
97.0106.4
Auto16.3
Teleop112.9
End13.1
Second
1672
#39
118.69.7
87.497.0
Auto13.3
Teleop95.0
End11.4
red by 3.1
2554
#32
115.513.9
90.6104.5
Auto17.5
Teleop84.6
End12.2
Third
2495
#36
103.86.7
90.797.4
Auto16.1
Teleop81.1
End6.0
red by 0.4
6016
#35
103.58.3
83.391.6
Auto13.8
Teleop81.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed