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Quarterfinal 3-32018 MidKnight Mayhem
Red331
102137.9
316182.3
75153.8
Blue272
321138.3
193123.0
1676165.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39827102006008001,0001,2001,4001,600331272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#3
182.30.0
182.3→182.3
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
red by 16.4
1676
#19
165.90.0
165.9→165.9
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
Second
75
#16
153.80.0
153.8→153.8
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
red by 15.6
321
#10
138.30.0
138.3→138.3
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
Third
102
#12
137.90.0
137.9→137.9
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
red by 14.9
193
#8
123.00.0
123.0→123.0
Auto15.6
Teleop94.3
End15.4