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Quarterfinal 4-22018 MidKnight Mayhem
Red381
1923189.0
219144.4
5420161.1
Blue283
1218184.1
2016150.0
369152.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36733302006008001,0001,200381283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#11
189.00.0
189.0→189.0
Auto24.5
Teleop149.5
End16.0
red by 4.9
1218
#22
184.10.0
184.1→184.1
Auto20.5
Teleop136.2
End27.2
Second
5420
#23
161.10.0
161.1→161.1
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
red by 8.8
369
#15
152.30.0
152.3→152.3
Auto17.0
Teleop123.7
End11.4
Third
219
#4
144.40.0
144.4→144.4
Auto22.5
Teleop107.6
End13.7
blue by 5.7
2016
#7
150.00.0
150.0→150.0
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0