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Qual 122018 MidKnight Mayhem
Red261
708171.6
4454117.5
4653164.6
Blue393
2539144.7
316182.3
484133.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31236302006008001,000261393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#5
171.60.0
171.6→171.6
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
blue by 10.7
316
#3
182.30.0
182.3→182.3
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
Second
4653
#14
164.60.0
164.6→164.6
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
red by 19.9
2539
#1
144.70.0
144.7→144.7
Auto18.3
Teleop104.4
End21.7
Third
4454
#31
117.50.0
117.5→117.5
Auto16.4
Teleop85.9
End17.5
blue by 15.6
484
#13
133.10.0
133.1→133.1
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest odds76%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds19%Face the Boss odds