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Red421
193123.0
2539144.7
2016150.0
Blue249
3142137.5
1218184.1
334092.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326327260280300320340360380400421249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.00.0
150.0150.0
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
blue by 34.1
1218
#22
184.10.0
184.1184.1
Auto20.5
Teleop136.2
End27.2
Second
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto18.3
Teleop104.4
End21.7
red by 7.2
3142
#30
137.50.0
137.5137.5
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
Third
193
#8
123.00.0
123.0123.0
Auto15.6
Teleop94.3
End15.4
red by 30.6
3340
#26
92.40.0
92.492.4
Auto16.1
Teleop66.3
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest odds50%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds22%Face the Boss odds