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Red396
1218184.1
193123.0
708171.6
Blue272
75153.8
369152.3
5123113.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38728402006008001,0001,2001,400396272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#22
184.10.0
184.1184.1
Auto20.5
Teleop136.2
End27.2
red by 30.3
75
#16
153.80.0
153.8153.8
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
Second
708
#5
171.60.0
171.6171.6
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
red by 19.3
369
#15
152.30.0
152.3152.3
Auto17.0
Teleop123.7
End11.4
Third
193
#8
123.00.0
123.0123.0
Auto15.6
Teleop94.3
End15.4
red by 9.4
5123
#28
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto18.5
Teleop87.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest odds74%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds