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Qual 242018 MidKnight Mayhem
Red341
5420161.1
225219.3
4652115.3
Blue177
2590238.0
3142137.5
4653164.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33737405001,0001,5002,0002,500341177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
219.30.0
219.3→219.3
Auto23.9
Teleop164.6
End31.5
blue by 18.6
2590
#27
238.00.0
238.0→238.0
Auto23.7
Teleop170.6
End40.5
Second
5420
#23
161.10.0
161.1→161.1
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
blue by 3.5
4653
#14
164.60.0
164.6→164.6
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
Third
4652
#29
115.30.0
115.3→115.3
Auto14.4
Teleop92.6
End10.6
blue by 22.2
3142
#30
137.50.0
137.5→137.5
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss odds70%Face the Boss odds