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Qual 32018 MidKnight Mayhem
Red203
708171.6
533165.1
75153.8
Blue185
1676165.9
4652115.3
3142137.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41728002006008001,0001,200203185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#5
171.60.0
171.6→171.6
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
red by 5.7
1676
#19
165.90.0
165.9→165.9
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
Second
533
#20
165.10.0
165.1→165.1
Auto17.7
Teleop122.3
End29.7
red by 27.6
3142
#30
137.50.0
137.5→137.5
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
Third
75
#16
153.80.0
153.8→153.8
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
red by 38.5
4652
#29
115.30.0
115.3→115.3
Auto14.4
Teleop92.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds66%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss odds33%Face the Boss odds