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Red151
5420161.1
484133.1
369152.3
Blue389
1923189.0
11128.1
316182.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29238002006008001,0001,200151389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5420
#23
161.10.0
161.1161.1
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
blue by 27.9
1923
#11
189.00.0
189.0189.0
Auto24.5
Teleop149.5
End16.0
Second
369
#15
152.30.0
152.3152.3
Auto17.0
Teleop123.7
End11.4
blue by 30.0
316
#3
182.30.0
182.3182.3
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
Third
484
#13
133.10.0
133.1133.1
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
red by 5.0
11
#24
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest odds86%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds