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Red333
56194.3
3314171.4
4573132.9
Blue324
11132.8
4361145.4
1626157.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417272100200500600700333324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#4
194.30.5
192.8193.2
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
red by 36.7
1626
#15
157.60.3
158.0157.7
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
Second
171.40.4
170.2170.6
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
red by 26.0
4361
#11
145.40.1
145.5145.4
Auto17.7
Teleop112.9
End11.6
Third
4573
#25
132.90.1
132.7132.8
Auto16.8
Teleop97.2
End18.2
red by 0.1
11
#16
132.80.1
132.5132.7
Auto16.1
Teleop101.2
End13.9