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Red403
1626157.6
293147.3
5684129.6
Blue207
11132.8
102129.9
4575123.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336278100200400500600403207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#15
157.60.3
148.1148.3
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
red by 24.7
11
#16
132.81.4
122.2123.6
Auto16.1
Teleop101.2
End13.9
Second
293
#8
147.31.8
129.7131.5
Auto17.1
Teleop113.8
End17.5
red by 17.4
102
#17
129.90.6
131.2130.6
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End11.0
Third
5684
#29
129.60.4
126.8127.2
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
red by 5.9
4575
#34
123.71.4
125.0123.6
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed