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Red229
5992126.7
5624120.9
4653159.9
Blue356
225229.4
555118.2
1403134.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543930100200300500600229356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#21
159.91.5
146.1147.6
Auto18.1
Teleop122.9
End21.8
blue by 69.5
225
#1
229.40.8
218.8219.6
Auto29.4
Teleop170.0
End26.4
Second
5992
#26
126.71.2
123.3124.4
Auto16.5
Teleop90.3
End17.6
blue by 7.3
134.00.1
129.3129.2
Auto18.7
Teleop102.9
End12.5
Third
5624
#20
120.90.6
116.8117.4
Auto20.3
Teleop89.0
End15.2
red by 2.7
555
#18
118.20.7
116.9117.6
Auto16.6
Teleop84.5
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed