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Qual 162018 MAR District Montgomery Event
Red447
293147.3
75151.9
2016156.6
Blue281
41131.0
5684129.6
56194.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350337200250300400450447281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#22
156.60.7
153.3→154.0
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End18.3
blue by 37.7
56
#4
194.31.1
185.3→186.4
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
Second
75
#7
151.91.6
136.4→138.1
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
red by 20.9
41
#10
131.00.0
121.8→121.9
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End14.1
Third
293
#8
147.32.2
131.5→133.7
Auto17.1
Teleop113.8
End17.5
red by 17.7
5684
#29
129.61.0
127.2→128.2
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed