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Red280
4653159.9
5310130.3
341159.2
Blue397
222186.1
1626157.6
102129.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310359100200400500600280397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#21
159.91.5
148.6150.1
Auto18.1
Teleop122.9
End21.8
blue by 26.2
222
#5
186.12.4
174.3176.6
Auto25.2
Teleop140.1
End21.5
Second
341
#13
159.21.1
146.3147.4
Auto17.2
Teleop122.1
End19.5
red by 1.6
1626
#15
157.61.6
152.2153.9
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
Third
5310
#32
130.30.9
128.0128.8
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End10.3
red by 0.3
102
#17
129.90.1
128.1128.1
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed