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Red404
56194.3
3314171.4
4361145.4
Blue152
41131.0
4573132.9
5438110.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4362020100300400500600700404152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#4
194.30.9
184.5185.3
Auto26.3
Teleop139.0
End30.0
red by 61.4
4573
#25
132.90.1
131.1131.0
Auto16.8
Teleop97.2
End18.2
Second
171.40.6
153.1153.7
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
red by 40.4
41
#10
131.00.6
121.2121.8
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End14.1
Third
4361
#11
145.41.0
145.8146.8
Auto17.7
Teleop112.9
End11.6
red by 35.3
5438
#27
110.10.2
106.3106.6
Auto18.1
Teleop78.8
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed