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Red310
555118.2
222186.1
5624120.9
Blue295
5310130.3
4575123.7
75151.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338304100200400500600310295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#5
186.12.4
176.6179.0
Auto25.2
Teleop140.1
End21.5
red by 34.1
75
#7
151.91.2
142.0143.2
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
Second
5624
#20
120.90.5
117.4117.9
Auto20.3
Teleop89.0
End15.2
blue by 9.3
5310
#32
130.30.9
128.8129.7
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End10.3
Third
555
#18
118.20.2
118.1118.3
Auto16.6
Teleop84.5
End18.2
blue by 5.5
4575
#34
123.70.3
121.6121.9
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed