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Red241
4575123.7
1279150.6
5624120.9
Blue396
3142139.3
3637160.8
5684129.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883570100200400500600700241396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#23
150.60.7
146.2146.9
Auto18.4
Teleop112.8
End20.4
blue by 10.2
3637
#19
160.80.1
159.8159.7
Auto17.7
Teleop123.0
End19.4
Second
4575
#34
123.70.5
121.9122.4
Auto17.1
Teleop98.3
End12.3
blue by 15.7
3142
#12
139.31.5
130.2131.7
Auto18.3
Teleop103.0
End19.0
Third
5624
#20
120.90.7
118.4119.1
Auto20.3
Teleop89.0
End15.2
blue by 8.6
5684
#29
129.60.2
129.6129.8
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed