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Red318
25201.2
4637122.3
4573132.9
Blue306
5684129.6
11132.8
4653159.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352283100200400500600318306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#3
201.20.6
185.4186.0
Auto26.1
Teleop156.4
End19.4
red by 41.3
4653
#21
159.91.3
141.6142.8
Auto18.1
Teleop122.9
End21.8
Second
4573
#25
132.90.3
131.4131.1
Auto16.8
Teleop97.2
End18.2
red by 0.1
11
#16
132.80.9
120.2121.1
Auto16.1
Teleop101.2
End13.9
Third
4637
#24
122.31.7
116.0117.6
Auto15.8
Teleop88.8
End19.6
blue by 7.3
5684
#29
129.60.1
126.9126.8
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed