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Red391
484133.1
41131.0
5310130.3
Blue241
4637122.3
1279150.6
13686.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512590100200300400500600700391241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
133.10.2
131.4131.6
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
blue by 17.5
1279
#23
150.60.5
147.9148.4
Auto18.4
Teleop112.8
End20.4
Second
41
#10
131.01.3
126.6127.9
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End14.1
red by 8.8
4637
#24
122.30.4
122.7122.3
Auto15.8
Teleop88.8
End19.6
Third
5310
#32
130.30.5
130.7130.2
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End10.3
red by 43.5
136
#39
86.80.3
86.086.3
Auto13.2
Teleop65.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed