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Red346
3314171.4
6327135.8
334092.4
Blue246
102129.9
5684129.6
555118.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337313200250400450500550346246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.42.8
163.0165.8
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
red by 41.5
102
#17
129.90.2
131.0131.2
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End11.0
Second
6327
#28
135.80.7
133.8134.5
Auto19.2
Teleop99.3
End16.0
red by 6.2
5684
#29
129.60.6
130.4131.0
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
Third
3340
#35
92.41.0
94.293.2
Auto16.1
Teleop66.3
End9.0
blue by 25.8
555
#18
118.20.6
118.3118.9
Auto16.6
Teleop84.5
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed