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Red242
293147.3
3515115.6
5624120.9
Blue492
25201.2
1676150.8
222186.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2184630100300400500600700800242492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#8
147.31.2
142.6143.8
Auto17.1
Teleop113.8
End17.5
blue by 53.9
25
#3
201.21.4
195.6197.0
Auto26.1
Teleop156.4
End19.4
Second
5624
#20
120.90.6
119.5120.1
Auto20.3
Teleop89.0
End15.2
blue by 65.1
222
#5
186.11.2
183.7185.0
Auto25.2
Teleop140.1
End21.5
Third
3515
#33
115.60.0
115.2115.1
Auto16.7
Teleop80.9
End18.5
blue by 35.2
150.80.8
145.4146.2
Auto18.5
Teleop106.6
End24.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsEarned