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Red371
75151.9
341159.2
555118.2
Blue346
1279150.6
428198.6
11132.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373270100200300400500600700371346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#13
159.21.8
152.5154.3
Auto17.2
Teleop122.1
End19.5
red by 8.6
1279
#23
150.60.6
148.4149.0
Auto18.4
Teleop112.8
End20.4
Second
75
#7
151.91.3
149.9151.2
Auto19.9
Teleop109.0
End19.0
red by 19.1
11
#16
132.80.8
130.9131.7
Auto16.1
Teleop101.2
End13.9
Third
555
#18
118.20.6
118.9118.3
Auto16.6
Teleop84.5
End18.2
red by 19.6
4281
#36
98.60.6
97.498.0
Auto15.0
Teleop74.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed