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Red329
5684129.6
4573132.9
3314171.4
Blue331
4637122.3
207094.0
225229.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331340100200400500600700800329331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.42.4
165.8168.2
Auto22.5
Teleop117.1
End30.7
blue by 57.9
225
#1
229.41.2
226.4227.5
Auto29.4
Teleop170.0
End26.4
Second
4573
#25
132.90.5
131.7132.2
Auto16.8
Teleop97.2
End18.2
red by 10.6
4637
#24
122.30.2
122.3122.1
Auto15.8
Teleop88.8
End19.6
Third
5684
#29
129.60.6
131.0130.4
Auto19.6
Teleop91.9
End14.6
red by 35.6
2070
#30
94.00.4
93.193.4
Auto16.5
Teleop73.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed