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Red186
2180142.0
1391144.6
2495121.4
Blue445
1640182.8
834183.3
2600124.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2724110100200500600700186445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#12
144.60.5
144.1144.6
Auto23.0
Teleop104.5
End19.9
blue by 38.7
834
#4
183.30.2
183.1183.3
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End26.0
Second
2180
#24
142.00.2
141.8142.0
Auto19.3
Teleop107.8
End15.2
blue by 40.7
1640
#10
182.80.0
182.8182.8
Auto24.0
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Third
2495
#13
121.40.5
121.0121.4
Auto17.2
Teleop91.8
End15.4
blue by 3.4
2600
#18
124.80.4
124.4124.8
Auto16.7
Teleop94.1
End15.5