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Red406
365183.5
203161.7
1228130.2
Blue227
5113118.3
5457122.8
714103.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4312050100300500600700406227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
183.50.3
182.2182.5
Auto25.6
Teleop136.4
End24.4
red by 60.7
5457
#11
122.80.4
122.0122.4
Auto20.2
Teleop86.2
End20.0
Second
203
#2
161.70.0
161.7161.7
Auto22.0
Teleop121.8
End18.9
red by 43.4
5113
#19
118.30.1
118.0118.1
Auto19.5
Teleop86.6
End11.9
Third
1228
#20
130.20.3
129.2129.4
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.4
red by 26.5
714
#31
103.70.0
103.6103.6
Auto14.9
Teleop78.9
End11.3