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Qual 292018 MAR District Seneca Event
Red386
5401135.8
4750124.8
203161.7
Blue220
1647118.8
2729149.3
6921100.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30828702004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600386220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#2
161.70.5
150.9→151.3
Auto22.0
Teleop121.8
End18.9
red by 12.4
2729
#17
149.31.6
147.8→149.3
Auto27.7
Teleop104.6
End18.4
Second
5401
#23
135.80.2
133.2→133.0
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End16.7
red by 17.0
1647
#34
118.86.1
123.3→129.4
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End10.8
Third
4750
#16
124.82.3
113.0→115.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.9
End16.0
red by 24.6
6921
#30
100.30.6
97.1→96.5
Auto12.4
Teleop82.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed