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Red191
6226116.2
4954114.4
1089149.4
Blue354
203161.7
714103.7
1640182.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543630100200300400500600191354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#15
149.41.4
136.5137.9
Auto17.7
Teleop120.2
End10.9
blue by 33.4
1640
#10
182.80.8
177.4178.2
Auto24.0
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Second
6226
#25
116.215.6
78.193.7
Auto20.0
Teleop86.2
End12.4
blue by 45.5
203
#2
161.71.3
146.6147.9
Auto22.0
Teleop121.8
End18.9
Third
4954
#36
114.41.2
126.9125.7
Auto17.0
Teleop85.5
End10.6
red by 10.7
714
#31
103.70.1
111.9111.8
Auto14.9
Teleop78.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed