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Red282
87102.5
1640182.8
5457122.8
Blue369
224134.7
4750124.8
223169.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294358100200400500600282369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#10
182.80.7
177.7178.5
Auto24.0
Teleop135.4
End23.6
red by 12.9
223
#5
169.81.7
157.1158.8
Auto18.2
Teleop122.9
End29.4
Second
5457
#11
122.82.3
107.8110.2
Auto20.2
Teleop86.2
End20.0
blue by 11.8
224
#21
134.70.6
133.4134.0
Auto17.9
Teleop100.9
End15.2
Third
87
#28
102.51.2
97.798.9
Auto15.2
Teleop74.4
End14.3
blue by 22.3
4750
#16
124.82.5
115.3117.8
Auto16.6
Teleop92.9
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned