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Red135
714103.7
5401135.8
5113118.3
Blue409
6921100.3
5895159.2
1712160.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293480100200300400500600135409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#23
135.81.8
133.0134.8
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End16.7
blue by 24.7
160.50.5
153.9153.5
Auto24.5
Teleop122.8
End14.3
Second
5113
#19
118.31.0
111.5112.5
Auto19.5
Teleop86.6
End11.9
blue by 40.9
159.22.4
148.0150.4
Auto20.9
Teleop115.6
End22.6
Third
714
#31
103.71.0
108.2107.2
Auto14.9
Teleop78.9
End11.3
red by 3.4
6921
#30
100.30.6
96.596.0
Auto12.4
Teleop82.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed