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Red291
5401135.8
5457122.8
5420156.0
Blue368
1228130.2
2495121.4
2600124.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3692410100200300500600700800291368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.01.4
150.3151.7
Auto15.9
Teleop116.9
End20.2
red by 25.8
1228
#20
130.20.2
125.6125.4
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.4
Second
5401
#23
135.80.6
134.9135.5
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End16.7
red by 11.0
2600
#18
124.80.0
115.6115.6
Auto16.7
Teleop94.1
End15.5
Third
5457
#11
122.82.4
111.8114.2
Auto20.2
Teleop86.2
End20.0
red by 1.4
2495
#13
121.41.2
112.2113.4
Auto17.2
Teleop91.8
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed