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Red297
6226116.2
2600124.8
2729149.3
Blue510
223169.8
1712160.5
714103.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703550100200300400500600297510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
#17
149.30.6
151.2150.6
Auto27.7
Teleop104.6
End18.4
blue by 20.5
223
#5
169.81.1
163.1164.2
Auto18.2
Teleop122.9
End29.4
Second
2600
#18
124.81.4
116.3117.7
Auto16.7
Teleop94.1
End15.5
blue by 35.7
160.50.4
154.4154.8
Auto24.5
Teleop122.8
End14.3
Third
6226
#25
116.20.3
115.5115.2
Auto20.0
Teleop86.2
End12.4
red by 12.5
714
#31
103.70.7
103.2102.5
Auto14.9
Teleop78.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned