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Red184
4954114.4
5457122.8
1647118.8
Blue407
5113118.3
3151114.3
365183.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2533650100200300400500184407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5457
#11
122.82.2
118.5120.6
Auto20.2
Teleop86.2
End20.0
blue by 60.7
365
#3
183.51.3
179.1180.5
Auto25.6
Teleop136.4
End24.4
Second
1647
#34
118.81.7
121.9120.1
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End10.8
red by 0.5
5113
#19
118.31.0
115.5116.6
Auto19.5
Teleop86.6
End11.9
Third
4954
#36
114.41.1
116.5115.3
Auto17.0
Teleop85.5
End10.6
red by 0.1
3151
#22
114.30.1
113.9113.8
Auto20.5
Teleop82.8
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed