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Red478
2180142.0
1391144.6
2495121.4
Blue211
1712160.5
223169.8
7110139.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292398100200500600700478211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#12
144.60.5
143.0143.5
Auto23.0
Teleop104.5
End19.9
blue by 25.2
223
#5
169.80.3
169.5169.8
Auto18.2
Teleop122.9
End29.4
Second
2180
#24
142.00.1
141.4141.6
Auto19.3
Teleop107.8
End15.2
blue by 18.5
160.50.3
160.2160.5
Auto24.5
Teleop122.8
End14.3
Third
2495
#13
121.40.4
120.0120.5
Auto17.2
Teleop91.8
End15.4
blue by 18.5
7110
#14
139.90.0
139.9139.9
Auto17.7
Teleop103.1
End17.9