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Red337
365183.5
203161.7
1228130.2
Blue363
1640182.8
834183.3
2600124.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373620100200500600700800337363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
183.50.2
182.8183.1
Auto25.6
Teleop136.4
End24.4
red by 0.2
834
#4
183.30.3
182.0182.3
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End26.0
Second
203
#2
161.70.0
161.7161.6
Auto22.0
Teleop121.8
End18.9
blue by 21.1
1640
#10
182.80.1
182.8182.8
Auto24.0
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Third
1228
#20
130.20.2
129.6129.8
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.4
red by 5.4
2600
#18
124.80.5
122.3122.8
Auto16.7
Teleop94.1
End15.5