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Quarterfinal 3-22018 NMRC Championship
Red229
2883165.1
4539220.8
303696.6
Blue371
3277147.3
876178.0
4623153.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37931202006008001,000229371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
220.80.5
219.6→220.0
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
red by 42.8
876
#2
178.00.2
177.4→177.6
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
Second
2883
#5
165.10.4
164.0→164.4
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
red by 11.9
4623
#7
153.20.3
154.0→153.7
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
Third
3036
#16
96.60.1
96.5→96.5
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
blue by 50.7
3277
#15
147.30.4
146.2→146.6
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6