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Red313
3313143.2
3750189.9
4623153.2
Blue267
6453106.9
303696.6
3277147.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4291700100200300400500600313267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.91.0
193.4192.3
Auto19.7
Teleop151.7
End18.6
red by 42.7
3277
#15
147.31.1
143.1142.0
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
Second
153.20.3
156.3156.0
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
red by 46.2
6453
#17
106.91.7
108.5106.8
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
Third
143.21.3
155.0153.8
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
red by 46.6
3036
#16
96.61.7
101.699.9
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed