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Qual 352018 NMRC Championship
Red407
876178.0
3277147.3
5253114.5
Blue216
4623153.2
4181146.7
6453106.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3673020100200400500600700407216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
178.01.2
174.4→175.6
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
red by 24.8
4623
#7
153.20.0
155.1→155.2
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
Second
3277
#15
147.30.6
144.0→144.5
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
red by 0.6
4181
#4
146.71.6
144.1→145.7
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
Third
5253
#19
114.50.2
113.7→114.0
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
red by 7.6
6453
#17
106.91.1
105.8→106.9
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed