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Qual 132018 Las Vegas Regional
Red295
6826102.5
2659174.5
6957109.4
Blue285
3255183.7
5875105.8
585101.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327269200300400500295285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#16
174.52.0
164.5→166.6
Auto28.5
Teleop124.0
End20.4
blue by 9.2
3255
#2
183.70.4
166.1→166.6
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
Second
6957
#32
109.47.9
93.4→101.3
Auto15.2
Teleop81.5
End16.4
red by 3.6
5875
#37
105.83.9
97.5→101.4
Auto16.7
Teleop82.2
End10.8
Third
6826
#39
102.56.5
90.6→97.1
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End7.8
red by 1.4
585
#38
101.10.0
95.5→95.5
Auto16.9
Teleop83.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed