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Red286
3009146.8
7183117.0
842198.6
Blue285
682196.3
4486146.6
2659174.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333304100200400500600286285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#3
198.63.2
177.0180.3
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
red by 24.1
2659
#16
174.52.4
162.2164.5
Auto28.5
Teleop124.0
End20.4
Second
146.80.4
128.9129.3
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
red by 0.3
4486
#25
146.61.6
143.9145.6
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
Third
7183
#42
117.039.3
117.077.7
Auto15.0
Teleop82.4
End21.8
red by 20.8
6821
#43
96.30.1
97.998.0
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed