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Red292
2659174.5
502596.9
3011118.9
Blue349
4486146.6
4501112.8
2543137.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313305260280320340360380292349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#16
174.51.9
166.6168.5
Auto28.5
Teleop124.0
End20.4
red by 27.9
4486
#25
146.60.1
147.1147.2
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
Second
3011
#35
118.97.6
109.9117.5
Auto18.2
Teleop93.5
End4.8
blue by 18.2
137.20.7
123.6122.9
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End17.2
Third
5025
#31
96.90.4
98.898.4
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End5.3
blue by 15.9
4501
#30
112.84.7
107.7112.4
Auto17.8
Teleop84.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed