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Red168
7077104.8
4501112.8
3965131.3
Blue362
585101.1
2710148.9
6519132.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274279150200250300350400168362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#28
131.30.5
127.2126.7
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2
blue by 17.5
148.90.5
132.0132.5
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
Second
4501
#30
112.82.7
112.4115.1
Auto17.8
Teleop84.9
End8.6
blue by 19.4
6519
#26
132.23.4
111.1114.5
Auto17.5
Teleop94.9
End17.9
Third
7077
#36
104.85.3
99.4104.8
Auto14.9
Teleop80.7
End10.4
red by 3.7
585
#38
101.10.2
95.595.3
Auto16.9
Teleop83.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed