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Red290
5059150.2
502596.9
6957109.4
Blue138
3495129.8
6519132.2
6825108.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273210100400500600700290138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5059
#14
150.21.6
121.0122.5
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End21.2
red by 18.0
6519
#26
132.215.6
78.594.1
Auto17.5
Teleop94.9
End17.9
Second
6957
#32
109.451.8
129.577.7
Auto15.2
Teleop81.5
End16.4
blue by 20.4
3495
#34
129.814.7
86.5101.2
Auto15.5
Teleop99.3
End18.3
Third
5025
#31
96.90.6
96.996.3
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End5.3
blue by 11.7
6825
#41
108.630.8
108.677.7
Auto17.4
Teleop77.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed