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Red516
4738135.0
5012138.9
3009146.8
Blue138
5851118.8
6825108.6
2647116.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351242100200300400500516138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.81.3
134.2135.4
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
red by 28.0
5851
#20
118.80.4
117.7117.2
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Second
5012
#21
138.90.9
133.7134.6
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.3
red by 22.0
2647
#27
116.94.3
107.2111.5
Auto17.4
Teleop88.3
End11.1
Third
4738
#11
135.00.6
123.5124.1
Auto21.1
Teleop103.1
End15.4
red by 26.5
6825
#41
108.61.3
101.6102.9
Auto17.4
Teleop77.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed